MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 22:42:28| >> :60:20:20:
Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Final
Mar 25, 2024 at 1.15am UK
AT&T Stadium
USA national football team

Mexico
0 - 2
USA


Vasquez (55'), Alvarez (58'), Uriel (63'), Gimenez (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (45'), Reyna (63')
McKennie (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 0-3 Mexico
Friday, March 22 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

USA

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-1 Jamaica
Thursday, March 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: USA 2-1 Mexico (extra time)

 The Yanks may look sluggish at times, but someone always seems to step up for them when needed, and we believe their attacking depth and psychological edge over Mexico will propel them to a third straight Nations League crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawUSA
34.22% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21) 25.72% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 40.05% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.146 -0.15)49.2% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.131 -0.13)71.26% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (-0.199 -0.2)27.53% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (-0.26 -0.26)63.04% (0.26 0.26)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (0.031000000000006 0.03)24.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (0.045999999999999 0.05)58.61% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 34.23%
    USA 40.05%
    Draw 25.72%
MexicoDrawUSA
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.23%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.05%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
52.8%
Draw
30.2%
Winner Semi-final 2
17.0%
53
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 3am
Semi-Finals
USA
3-0
Mexico
Pulisic (37', 46'), Pepi (78')
Robinson (60'), Robinson (63'), Richards (86'), Pulisic (89')
McKennie (71'), Dest (85')

Uriel (36'), Reyes (59'), Gimenez (60'), Alvarez (85'), Ochoa (86')
Montes (69'), Arteaga (85')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2023 3am
Friendlies 1
USA
1-1
Mexico
Ferreira (81')
Uriel (55')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2022 2am
Third Round
Mexico
0-0
USA
> Preview
Nov 13, 2021 2.10am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Mexico
Pulisic (74'), McKennie (85')
Robinson (59'), Steffen (68'), McKennie (68')
Robinson (89')

Romo (45+1'), Rodriguez (68')
> Preview
Aug 2, 2021 1.30am
Final
USA
1-0
Mexico
Robinson (117')
Acosta (113')

Herrera (72'), Gallardo (114'), Alvarez (117')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
> Preview
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
> Preview
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
Group Stage
France
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5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
 
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111
> European Championship 2024 overview


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