

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.37%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami | 
| 58.37% (  -0.47) | 20.26% (  -0.06) | 21.36% (  0.52) | 
| Both teams to score 63.46% (  1.08) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.73% (  1.03) | 33.27% (  -1.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.96% (  1.17) | 55.03% (  -1.18) | 
| New York City FC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.69% (  0.19) | 11.31% (  -0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.04% (  0.42) | 35.96% (  -0.43) | 
| Inter Miami Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.56% (  1.06) | 28.44% (  -1.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.8% (  1.32) | 64.2% (  -1.32) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami | 
| 2-1 @ 9.61% (  -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.64% (  -0.3) 1-0 @ 7.01% (  -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.98% (  -0) 3-0 @ 5.55% (  -0.17) 3-2 @ 4.39% (  0.13) 4-1 @ 3.8% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 3.02% (  -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.39% (  0.09) 5-1 @ 1.66% (  0.03) 5-0 @ 1.32% (  -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.04% (  0.05) 4-3 @ 1% (  0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (  -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.04% (  0.13) 0-0 @ 3.22% (  -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.84% (  0.11) Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 5.54% (  0.07) 0-1 @ 4.04% (  -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.54% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% (  0.13) 1-3 @ 2.32% (  0.1) 0-3 @ 1.07% (  0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 21.36% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 
| 3 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 
| 4 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 
| 5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 6 | Orlando City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 
| 7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 
| 8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 
| 9 | DC United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | 
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | 
| 13 | Toronto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | 
| 14 | Nashville SCNashville | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 
| 2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 
| 4 | Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 
| 5 | Austin FCAustin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 
| 8 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 
| 10 | St Louis City | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 
| 11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | 
| 12 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 
| 15 | Houston DynamoHouston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
