Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.37%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.37% (![]() | 20.26% (![]() | 21.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.73% (![]() | 33.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.96% (![]() | 55.03% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.69% (![]() | 11.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.04% (![]() | 35.96% (![]() |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% (![]() | 28.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.8% (![]() | 64.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.61% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 5.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 21.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Orlando City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
9 | DC United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
13 | Toronto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
8 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
10 | St Louis City | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
12 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
15 | Houston DynamoHouston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |