Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Lower.com Field
We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 New York City FC
Although the Pigeons have been right there in both of their matches with the Crew this season, they still seem to lack that killer instinct and when you waste opportunities against the reigning MLS Cup champions, they usually find a way to make you pay.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.11% . A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.34% .
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.64%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.22%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result Columbus Crew Draw New York City FC 59.11% ( -0.51) 21.54% ( 0.18) 19.34% ( 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.03)
57.69% ( -0.32) 42.3% ( 0.32)
35.29% ( -0.32) 64.71% ( 0.32)
86.03% ( -0.26) 13.97% ( 0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 58.53% ( -0.51) 41.47% ( 0.52)
64.39% ( 0.17) 35.61% ( -0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.62% ( 0.17) 72.38% ( -0.17)
Columbus Crew 59.11%
New York City FC 19.34%
Draw 21.54%
Columbus Crew Draw New York City FC 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.05% Total : 59.11% 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.54% 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.34%
How you voted: Columbus Crew vs NY City
Columbus Crew
Draw
New York City FC
30
rhs 2.0
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