

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United | 
| 43.85% (  -0.7) | 24.24% (  -0.07) | 31.91% (  0.76) | 
| Both teams to score 59.26% (  0.6) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.81% (  0.63) | 43.19% (  -0.63) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.41% (  0.62) | 65.59% (  -0.62) | 
| New England Revolution Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.13% (  -0.04) | 19.87% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.03% (  -0.06) | 51.97% (  0.07) | 
| DC United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.96% (  0.79) | 26.04% (  -0.79) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.92% (  1.05) | 61.08% (  -1.05) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United | 
| 2-1 @ 9.09% (  -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.36% (  -0.25) 2-0 @ 6.76% (  -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.9% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.64% (  -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.3% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 1.98% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% (  -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% (  0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 11.25% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 5.17% (  -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.48% (  0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.57% (  0.12) 0-1 @ 6.96% (  -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.68% (  0.08) 1-3 @ 3.39% (  0.13) 2-3 @ 2.74% (  0.1) 0-3 @ 2.1% (  0.08) 1-4 @ 1.14% (  0.07) 2-4 @ 0.92% (  0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.91% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | 
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 | 
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 26 | 
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 23 | 
| 5 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 | 
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 | 
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 
| 12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 | 
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 13 | 
| 14 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 | 
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 | 
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 | 
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 | 
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 | 
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 | 
| 12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 | 
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
