

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution | 
| 43.18% (  -1.68) | 23.79% (  0.22) | 33.03% (  1.46) | 
| Both teams to score 61.34% (  -0.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.34% (  -0.46) | 40.66% (  0.46) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.95% (  -0.48) | 63.04% (  0.48) | 
| DC United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.88% (  -0.89) | 19.12% (  0.89) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.24% (  -1.49) | 50.76% (  1.49) | 
| New England Revolution Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.84% (  0.64) | 24.16% (  -0.64) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.52% (  0.9) | 58.47% (  -0.91) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution | 
| 2-1 @ 8.98% (  -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.64% (  -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.32% (  -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.95% (  -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.52% (  -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.49% (  -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.05% (  -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.46% (  -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.44% (  -0.14) Other @ 3.33% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 10.85% (  0.12) 2-2 @ 6.38% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% (  0.1) 3-3 @ 1.67% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.71% (  0.23) 0-1 @ 6.56% (  0.26) 0-2 @ 4.66% (  0.27) 1-3 @ 3.65% (  0.17) 2-3 @ 3.02% (  0.06) 0-3 @ 2.21% (  0.16) 1-4 @ 1.3% (  0.09) 2-4 @ 1.07% (  0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.03% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | 
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 | 
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 26 | 
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 23 | 
| 5 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 | 
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 | 
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 
| 12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 | 
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 13 | 
| 14 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 | 
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 | 
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 | 
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 | 
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 | 
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 | 
| 12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 | 
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 | 
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
