Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
43.18% (![]() | 23.79% (![]() | 33.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.34% (![]() | 40.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.95% (![]() | 63.04% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% (![]() | 19.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.24% (![]() | 50.76% (![]() |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% (![]() | 24.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% (![]() | 58.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 8.98% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 10.85% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.71% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 26 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 23 |
5 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 13 |
14 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |