Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
