

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%).
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 49.68% ( | 23.06% ( | 27.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( | 40.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( | 62.77% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( | 16.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.84% ( | 46.15% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( | 27.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.69% ( | 63.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
