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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.36% (![]() | 25.21% (![]() | 24.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.02% (![]() | 51.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% (![]() | 73.72% (![]() |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% (![]() | 20.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.77% (![]() | 53.23% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.84% (![]() | 36.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.05% (![]() | 72.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 11.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 72 |
2 | Orlando City | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 64 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 57 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 55 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 66 | 53 | 13 | 51 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 46 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 43 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
12 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 40 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 34 |
15 | Toronto | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 49 | 14 | 56 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 55 |
3 | Houston DynamoHouston | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 54 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 53 |
5 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 50 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 48 |
7 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 48 |
8 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 46 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 43 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 39 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 36 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 27 |