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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%).
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
45.91% (![]() | 22.62% (![]() | 31.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.38% (![]() | 35.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.32% (![]() | 57.68% (![]() |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% (![]() | 16.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.62% (![]() | 45.38% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.36% (![]() | 22.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.73% (![]() | 56.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.03% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 9.87% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 7.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 72 |
2 | Orlando City | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 64 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 57 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 55 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 66 | 53 | 13 | 51 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 46 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 43 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
12 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 40 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 34 |
15 | Toronto | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 49 | 14 | 56 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 55 |
3 | Houston DynamoHouston | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 54 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 53 |
5 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 50 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 48 |
7 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 48 |
8 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 46 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 43 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 39 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 36 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 27 |