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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
64.49% (![]() | 19.22% (![]() | 16.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% (![]() | 36.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.11% (![]() | 58.9% (![]() |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.25% (![]() | 10.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.27% (![]() | 34.73% (![]() |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% (![]() | 35.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% (![]() | 72.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.31% 3-0 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.22% | 1-2 @ 4.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 73 |
2 | Orlando City | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 69 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 75 | 52 | 23 | 63 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 61 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 55 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 61 | 11 | 54 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 49 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 43 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
12 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 40 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 34 |
15 | Toronto | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 59 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Houston DynamoHouston | 37 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 56 |
4 | St Louis City | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 56 |
5 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 52 |
6 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 51 |
7 | Dallas | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 48 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 43 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 39 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 36 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 27 |