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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Atlanta United

Philadelphia
3 - 2
Atlanta

Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Atlanta United

Philadelphia Union have drawn their last five MLS games, and the spoils have been shared in each of Atlanta United's last two away matches. Given that the two sides are separated by just two points in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, and we expect a draw this Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
55.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 21.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)44.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.96%
    Atlanta United 21.49%
    Draw 22.55%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atlanta United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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