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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 at 9pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Atlanta
2 - 0
Philadelphia

Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-2 Philadelphia Union

Atlanta United will be looking to restore some pride this weekend following their humbling defeat against the Red Bulls. However, they face a Philadelphia Union side who have enjoyed the better of this fixture over the last two years. While home advantage makes the Pineda's men slight favourites, we predict that the visitors will do just enough to force a share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
48.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.86%28.03% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 58.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)43.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.28%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.8% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.65% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 48.11%
    Philadelphia Union 28.03%
    Draw 23.85%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 28.03%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
32.1%
Draw
32.1%
Philadelphia Union
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
Jun 20, 2020 10.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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