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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.83% (![]() | 24.7% (![]() | 24.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.09% (![]() | 49.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.1% (![]() | 71.9% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% (![]() | 19.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.4% (![]() | 51.6% (![]() |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% (![]() | 34.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% (![]() | 71.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
1-0 @ 11.18% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 11.74% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 43 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 36 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 31 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 29 |
7 | Orlando City | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 28 |
8 | DC United | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 26 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
14 | Toronto | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 32 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 27 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
7 | Dallas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 25 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 21 |
12 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |