Atlanta United 4-2 Columbus Crew - Major League Soccer - November 8, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

4 - 2

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Giakoumakis (38'), Silva (45+4'), Mosquera (83'), Almada (88')
Giakoumakis (18'), Silva (45+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Camilo Hernandez (45'), Arfsten (90+5')
Camilo Hernandez (41')

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The Match

Preview

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta
Wednesday, November 1 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta
Wednesday, November 1 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Columbus Crew

With Almada back in the fold, we expect to see a much more aggressive and determined Atlanta side in this one, and his vision and passing ability should enable the Five Stripes to create more chances and find a way through an inconsistent Crew defensive unit.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.72%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
46.65% ( 0.38)	21.87% ( 0.12)	31.48% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 67.84% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.14% (

-0.88)

31.86% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.6% (

-1.04)

53.4% (

1.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

-0.2)

14.34% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.81% (

-0.4)

42.19% (

0.4)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

-0.69)

20.8% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53% (

-1.1)

53.47% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 46.65%

Columbus Crew 31.48%

Draw 21.87%

Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.65%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.48%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Columbus Crew

Atlanta United

52.0%

Draw

20.0%

Columbus Crew

28.0%

Head to Head

Nov 1, 2023 11.30pm

2-0

Camilo Hernandez (45+1', 51' pen.)
Camacho (78'), Rossi (79')

Muyumba (25'), Robinson (71'), Thiare (77')

Oct 8, 2023 12.30am

1-1

Robinson (90+7')

Camilo Hernandez (65')

Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm

6-1

Morris (14'), Ramirez (47', 64'), Quinton (51'), Russell-Rowe (68'), Arfsten (90+1')

Lennon (71')

Aug 21, 2022 11.48pm

2-2

Camilo Hernandez (66', 72')
Artur (31'), Etienne (51'), Mensah (82')

Sosa (21'), Sanchez (77')
Sosa (69'), Mosquera (80')

May 29, 2022 12am

1-2

Moreno (45+5'), Ibarra (45+10'), Franco (89'), Dwyer (90+3')
Almada (90+7')

Sands (61')