Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 8.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.83%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.