MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 23:58:19| >> :120:9357:9357:
Lille
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade du Hainaut

Lille
2 - 1
Fenerbahce

Santos (12' og.), Zhegrova (90+1')
Santos (45+2'), Alexsandro (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kahveci (80')
Dzeko (9'), Kadioglu (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League qualifier between Lille and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-1 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Lugano
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League

We said: Lille 2-2 Fenerbahce

Fener may be able to catch Lille out early on, as the hosts have had no competitive action yet and will take time to get up to full speed. With both sides boasting plenty of European nous and attacking flair, a few goals should be expected in this first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Lille had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawFenerbahce
34.64%25.12%40.24%
Both teams to score 57.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55%46.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27%68.72%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04%25.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03%60.97%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29%56.7%
Score Analysis
    Lille 34.64%
    Fenerbahce 40.24%
    Draw 25.11%
LilleDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.03%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 40.24%

How you voted: Lille vs Finalist 1

Lille
36.4%
Draw
26.0%
Finalist 1
37.7%
154
rhs 2.0
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