Lille
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade du Hainaut

Lille
2 - 1
Fenerbahce

Santos (12' og.), Zhegrova (90+1')
Santos (45+2'), Alexsandro (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kahveci (80')
Dzeko (9'), Kadioglu (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League qualifier between Lille and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-1 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Lugano
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Lille had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawFenerbahce
34.64%25.12%40.24%
Both teams to score 57.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55%46.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27%68.72%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04%25.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03%60.97%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06%22.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29%56.7%
Score Analysis
    Lille 34.64%
    Fenerbahce 40.24%
    Draw 25.11%
LilleDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.03%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 40.24%

How you voted: Lille vs Finalist 1

Lille
36.4%
Draw
26.0%
Finalist 1
37.7%
154
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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