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Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Lugano

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Lugano

Dzeko (59'), Szymanski (90+3')
Dzeko (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahmoud (7')
Doumbia (55'), Aliseda (57'), Mahmoud (58'), Zanotti (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Fenerbahce and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Lugano 3-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Lugano

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Basel 1-2 Lugano
Saturday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
FenerbahceDrawLugano
64.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)16.44% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 59.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.04%9.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)33.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)70.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 64.79%
    Lugano 16.44%
    Draw 18.76%
FenerbahceDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.72%
2-0 @ 8.98%
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.47%
3-0 @ 6.91%
4-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 4.04%
4-0 @ 3.98%
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.99%
5-0 @ 1.84%
5-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 64.79%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.26%
0-0 @ 3.38%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.76%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 16.44%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Lugano

Fenerbahce
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
Lugano
5.0%
80
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 7.30pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Lugano
3-4
Fenerbahce
El Wafi (4'), Bislimi (64'), Valenzuela (90+4')
El Wafi (29'), Papadopoulos (59'), Bottani (69'), Grgic (71'), Zanotti (77')
Dzeko (45+1' pen., 46', 67'), Kadioglu (74')
Soyuncu (18'), Tadic (45+3'), Oosterwolde (70'), Tosun (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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