MX23RW : Saturday, May 10 16:06:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob
Lugano

Basel
1 - 2
Lugano

Leroy (50')
Leroy (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aliseda (8'), Przybylko (69')
Hajdari (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Last Game: Lausanne 3-2 Basel
Sunday, July 21 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 3-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Champions League

We said: Basel 2-2 Lugano

 Still licking their wounds from last Tuesday's narrow defeat, Lugano will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result ahead of next week's second-leg clash with Fenerbahce. However, Basel have proven tough to crack at home and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLugano
42.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.03% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 33.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.48% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (-0.073 -0.07)41.8% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)64.2% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)19.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (-0.055 -0.05)51.76% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)24.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)59.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Basel 42.84%
    Lugano 33.13%
    Draw 24.03%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.13%

How you voted: Basel vs Lugano

Basel
46.3%
Draw
38.9%
Lugano
14.8%
54
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Lugano
2-0
Basel
Hajdari (44'), Steffen (69')
Steffen (41'), Macek (52')

Drager (55'), Kacuri (55'), Augustin (64'), Kayombo (66'), Frei (67')
Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Basel
0-1
Lugano

Vouilloz (64')
Steffen (69')
Valenzuela (72'), Bislimi (81'), Celar (89')
Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Lugano
1-3
Basel
Macek (54')
Macek (25'), Steffen (49'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (89')
Dubasin (29'), Jovanovic (61'), Beney (90+2')
Schmid (18'), Ruegg (21'), Salvi (86'), Veiga (89'), Avdullahu (89'), Avdullahu (89')
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Lugano
Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Males (74'), Lang (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Basel34197877334464
2Servette34151095348555
3Young Boys34158115145653
4LuganoLugano34157125047352
5Luzern34149116153851
6Lausanne SportLausanne34148125546950
Relegation Round
1St GallenSt Gallen341212104744348
2FC Zurich34138134550-547
3Sion34109154352-939
4Yverdon Sport34810163458-2434
5Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper34712153548-1333
6FC WinterthurWinterthur3496193461-2733
 
Regular Season
1Basel33187872324061
2Servette33151085243955
3Young Boys33158104942753
4Luzern331491061511051
5LuganoLugano33147124847149
6Lausanne SportLausanne33138125244847
7St GallenSt Gallen331211104643347
8FC Zurich33138124448-447
9Sion3399154151-1036
10Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper33712143546-1133
11Yverdon Sport3389163357-2433
12FC WinterthurWinterthur3386193261-2930
> Swiss Super League Full Table


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