MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 21:39:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Lugano

Basel
1 - 2
Lugano

Leroy (50')
Leroy (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aliseda (8'), Przybylko (69')
Hajdari (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lausanne 3-2 Basel
Sunday, July 21 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 3-4 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Champions League

We said: Basel 2-2 Lugano

Still licking their wounds from last Tuesday's narrow defeat, Lugano will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result ahead of next week's second-leg clash with Fenerbahce. However, Basel have proven tough to crack at home and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Basel win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Lugano has a probability of 33.13% and a draw has a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lugano win is 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
BaselDrawLugano
42.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.03% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 33.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.48% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (-0.073 -0.07)41.8% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)64.2% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)19.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (-0.055 -0.05)51.76% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)24.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)59.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Basel 42.84%
    Lugano 33.13%
    Draw 24.03%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.13%

How you voted: Basel vs Lugano

Basel
46.3%
Draw
38.9%
Lugano
14.8%
54
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Lugano
2-0
Basel
Hajdari (44'), Steffen (69')
Steffen (41'), Macek (52')

Drager (55'), Kacuri (55'), Augustin (64'), Kayombo (66'), Frei (67')
Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Basel
0-1
Lugano

Vouilloz (64')
Steffen (69')
Valenzuela (72'), Bislimi (81'), Celar (89')
Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Lugano
1-3
Basel
Macek (54')
Macek (25'), Steffen (49'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (89')
Dubasin (29'), Jovanovic (61'), Beney (90+2')
Schmid (18'), Ruegg (21'), Salvi (86'), Veiga (89'), Avdullahu (89'), Avdullahu (89')
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Lugano
Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Males (74'), Lang (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sion22006156
2Servette22005236
3LuganoLugano22004226
4FC Zurich11002023
5FC WinterthurWinterthur11001013
6Lausanne SportLausanne210136-33
7Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper201134-11
8Luzern201134-11
9St GallenSt Gallen100101-10
10Basel200235-20
11Yverdon Sport100102-20
12Young Boys200225-30


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