Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 22, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
Brest logo

Shakhtar
2 - 0
Brest

Kevin (18'), Sudakov (37' pen.)
Stepanenko (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ndiaye (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Brest
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Brest had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawBrest
49.58% (1.209 1.21)24.52% (-0.183 -0.18)25.89% (-1.027 -1.03)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.02% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.19% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.504 0.5)19.4% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (0.82 0.82)51.21% (-0.817 -0.82)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.807 -0.81)32.78% (0.81 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.911 -0.91)69.34% (0.91499999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 49.59%
    Brest 25.89%
    Draw 24.52%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.212 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.115 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.89%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Brest

Shakhtar Donetsk
23.0%
Draw
12.9%
Brest
64.1%
209
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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