Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.