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Panathinaikos
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
 
Ajax

0-1

FT(HT: 0-1)
Berghuis (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League qualifier between Panathinaikos and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 0-4 Panathinaikos
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Next Game: Trabzonspor vs. Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: FK Vojvodina 1-3 Ajax
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Next Game: Trabzonspor vs. Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: Panathinaikos 1-1 Ajax

It is fair to say that neither club is the force they were during the 1990s, or at other successful stages during their illustrious history, but this still represents a heavyweight clash in Europa League qualifying. A close-fought first leg should see the spoils shared in Athens, leaving Ajax slight favourites to prevail after next week's return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%).

Result
Draw
42.22%23.31%34.47%
Both teams to score 63.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09%37.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83%60.16%
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6%18.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45%49.55%
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93%22.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59%55.41%
Score Analysis
    42.22%
    34.47%
    Draw 23.31%
Draw
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 6.87%
2-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 42.22%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-1 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 34.47%

How you voted: Panathinaikos vs Ajax

Panathinaikos
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Ajax
40.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2016 6pm
Group Stage
Ajax
2-0
Panathinaikos
Schone (40'), Tete (50')
Dijks (16')

Villafanez (14'), Wakaso (54')
Sep 15, 2016 8.05pm
Group Stage
Panathinaikos
1-2
Ajax
Berg (5')
Koutroubis (35'), Ivanov (59'), Wakaso (62'), Mesto (66'), Villafanez (71')
Ivanov (69'), Wakaso (92')
Traore (34'), Riedewald (67')
Viergever (42'), Ziyech (55'), Veltman (92')
Ziyech (79')
rhs 2.0
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