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Europa League

Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Hristo Botev
Panathinaikos

Botev Plovdiv
0 - 4
Panathinaikos


Diabate (19'), Nachukwu (33'), Conte (47'), Sekulic (64')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Jeremejeff (6', 50'), Ujah (34' og.), Duricic (45+2')
Jedvaj (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Botev Plovdiv and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botev Plovdiv

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Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-1 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa League
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Panathinaikos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-1 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result
Botev PlovdivDrawPanathinaikos
18.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)59.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.07% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Botev Plovdiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01)38.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.54% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)43.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Botev Plovdiv 18.25%
    Panathinaikos 59.78%
    Draw 21.94%
Botev PlovdivDrawPanathinaikos
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 4.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.25%
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 11%
0-2 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 6.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 6.3%
0-4 @ 3.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.78%

How you voted: Botev Plovdiv vs Panathinaikos

Botev Plovdiv
31.3%
Draw
29.2%
Panathinaikos
39.6%
48
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Panathinaikos
2-1
Botev Plovdiv
Jeremejeff (8'), Bakasetas (44' pen.)
Mancini (69'), Dragowski (83')
Korosec (71')
Eto'o (30'), Perera Calderon (34'), Korosec (81')
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