We said: PAOK 1-1 FCSB
PAOK avoided defeat in three of their four home matches in the league phase, although that solitary loss took place against Thursday's opponents.
While we do not expect a repeat of October's 1-0 scoreline, we still believe that the visitors will do enough to hold their hosts to a draw in the first leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest FCSB win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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