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Europa League

PAOK
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
1 - 2
FCSB

Samatta (21')
Pelkas (14'), Taison (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gheorghita (50'), Dawa (60')
Ngezana (45+5'), Chiriches (51'), Birligea (52'), Gheorghita (65'), Radunovic (72'), Edjouma (75'), Sut (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PAOK and FCSB, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: OFI Crete 0-5 PAOK
Saturday, February 8 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

FCSB

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: FCSB 3-0 Sepsi
Sunday, February 9 at 6pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest FCSB win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawFCSB
49.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)24.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)26.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)47.85% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.03% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)32.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (0.035 0.04)68.97% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 49.27%
    FCSB 26.18%
    Draw 24.53%
PAOKDrawFCSB
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: PAOK vs FCSB

PAOK
65.6%
Draw
21.1%
FCSB
13.3%
90
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 8pm
League Stage
PAOK
0-1
FCSB

M (3'), Sastre (45+2')
Birligea (45+8')
Tanase (16'), Popescu (43'), Olaru (45+4'), Birligea (74'), Tarnovanu (86')
Olaru (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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