Potential new EL header

Europa League

PAOK
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Ferencvaros

PAOK
5 - 0
Ferencvaros

Taison (10'), Brandon (29'), Chalov (76'), Zivkovic (80' pen.), Despodov (89')
Taison (45+2'), Camara (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Saldanha (13'), Abu Fani (31'), Ramirez (37'), Gruber (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PAOK and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Panserraikos 1-4 PAOK
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Greek Superleague

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE
Sunday, December 8 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawFerencvaros
42.73% (-0.729 -0.73)24.34% (-0.07 -0.07)32.93% (0.8 0.8)
Both teams to score 59.31% (0.565 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (0.604 0.6)43.31% (-0.605 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (0.593 0.59)65.7% (-0.59400000000001 -0.59)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)20.41% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.12 -0.12)52.85% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.779 0.78)25.48% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (1.055 1.06)60.32% (-1.055 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 42.73%
    Ferencvaros 32.93%
    Draw 24.34%
PAOKDrawFerencvaros
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.121 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.087 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.93%

How you voted: PAOK vs Ferencvaros

PAOK
65.3%
Draw
13.7%
Ferencvaros
21.1%
95