

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 39.75% ( | 23.61% ( | 36.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.99% ( | 39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.67% ( | 61.33% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( | 19.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.89% ( | 52.1% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( | 21.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.54% ( | 54.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
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