Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
31.71% (![]() | 28.71% (![]() | 39.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.78% (![]() | 61.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.85% (![]() | 81.15% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% (![]() | 35.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% (![]() | 72.08% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.84% (![]() | 30.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.69% (![]() | 66.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.08% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 31.7% | 1-1 @ 13.28% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 12.76% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.44% Total : 39.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 27 | 59 | 79 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 83 | 27 | 56 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 30 | 32 | 68 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 54 |
7 | Casa Pia | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 44 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 43 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 37 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 35 |
13 | Nacional | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 33 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 29 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 27 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |