Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stal Mielec would win this match.