Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
