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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Betis logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Betis

Silva (8' og.), Morata (44')
De Paul (18')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carvalho (62')
Pezzella (67'), Rodriguez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Betis

Atletico's recent form is worrying, and their top-four position in the table is under threat from Athletic, demonstrating the importance of picking up a positive result here. Real Betis are capable of making it a tough afternoon for Atletico, but the visitors will be missing so many important players through injury, and we are therefore backing the hosts to edge out a much-needed three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Betis
55.15% (1.208 1.21) 23.42% (-0.331 -0.33) 21.43% (-0.878 -0.88)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.149 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.38800000000001 0.39)47.69% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (0.356 0.36)69.89% (-0.358 -0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (0.583 0.58)17.15% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (1.02 1.02)47.39% (-1.02 -1.02)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (-0.631 -0.63)36.58% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (-0.642 -0.64)73.37% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 55.15%
    Real Betis 21.43%
    Draw 23.41%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.232 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 55.15%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.43%

How you voted: Atletico vs Betis

Atletico Madrid
84.1%
Draw
12.2%
Real Betis
3.7%
82
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Betis
0-0
Atletico
Ruibal (37'), Isco (51')
Savic (43'), Simeone (54+54')
Apr 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
1-0
Betis
Correa (86')
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Betis
1-2
Atletico
Fekir (84')
Griezmann (54', 71')
Mar 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Betis
1-3
Atletico
Tello (45+5')
Iglesias (23'), Akouokou (40'), Bartra (50'), Tello (71'), Ruibal (87')
Felix (2', 61'), Lemar (80')
Simeone (27'), Herrera (34'), Carrasco (63'), Llorente (87')
Oct 31, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
3-0
Betis
Carrasco (26'), Pezzella (63' og.), Felix (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37274699396085
2Real Madrid37256676383881
3Atletico MadridAtletico372110664303473
4Athletic Bilbao371913554262870
5Villarreal371910867491867
6Real BetisBetis371611105649759
7Celta Vigo37157155756152
8Osasuna371215104751-451
9Rayo Vallecano371312124145-451
10Mallorca37138163544-947
11Real Sociedad37137173544-946
12Valencia371112144353-1045
13Getafe37119173337-442
14AlavesAlaves371011163747-1041
15Sevilla371011164051-1141
16GironaGirona37118184456-1241
17Espanyol37109183851-1339
18Leganes37813163656-2037
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3788214059-1932
RReal ValladolidValladolid3744292687-6116


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