

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alaves win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Mallorca has a probability of 28.67% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Mallorca win is 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.99%).
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Mallorca |
| 43.54% ( | 27.79% ( | 28.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41% ( | 59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.53% ( | 79.47% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( | 26.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.78% ( | 62.21% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.78% ( | 73.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
| 2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 56 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 48 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 33 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Getafe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Leganes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Valencia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | AlavesAlaves | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 16 |
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