

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 50.33% (  0.51) | 23.16% (  -0.19) | 26.51% (  -0.32) | 
| Both teams to score 59.32% (  0.36) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.5% (  0.61) | 41.49% (  -0.61) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.11% (  0.62) | 63.89% (  -0.62) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.37% (  0.41) | 16.63% (  -0.42) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.54% (  0.74) | 46.46% (  -0.74) | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.15% (  0.08) | 28.85% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.28% (  0.1) | 64.72% (  -0.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 2-1 @ 9.6% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 8.61% (  -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.72% (  0) 3-1 @ 5.74% (  0.09) 3-0 @ 4.62% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 3.57% (  0.07) 4-1 @ 2.57% (  0.08) 4-0 @ 2.07% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.6% (  0.05) 5-1 @ 0.92% (  0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.33% | 1-1 @ 10.69% (  -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.96% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 4.8% (  -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.48% (  0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.65% (  -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.96% (  -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.71% (  -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.76% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.51% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
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