

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town | 
| 70.15% (  0.43) | 18.6% (  -0.2) | 11.26% (  -0.22) | 
| Both teams to score 45.26% (  -0.06) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.44% (  0.32) | 45.56% (  -0.32) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.11% (  0.31) | 67.89% (  -0.3) | 
| Bolton Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.22% (  0.21) | 11.78% (  -0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.03% (  0.45) | 36.97% (  -0.44) | 
| Cheltenham Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 51.31% (  -0.18) | 48.7% (  0.19) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.26% (  -0.13) | 83.74% (  0.14) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town | 
| 2-0 @ 13.12% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 12.26% (  -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.36% (  0.1) 3-1 @ 6.73% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 5% (  0.09) 4-1 @ 3.6% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 2.42% (  0) 5-0 @ 2.14% (  0.06) 5-1 @ 1.54% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% (  0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.14% | 1-1 @ 8.83% (  -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.4% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.13% (  -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.18% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.49% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.26% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 | 
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 | 
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 | 
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 | 
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 | 
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 | 
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 | 
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 | 
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 | 
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 | 
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 | 
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 | 
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 | 
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 | 
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 | 
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 | 
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 | 
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 | 
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
