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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
70.15% (![]() | 18.6% (![]() | 11.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.44% (![]() | 45.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.11% (![]() | 67.89% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.22% (![]() | 11.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.03% (![]() | 36.97% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.31% (![]() | 48.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.26% (![]() | 83.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-0 @ 13.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.26% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.14% | 1-1 @ 8.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |