

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 70.15% ( | 18.6% ( | 11.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% ( | 45.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( | 67.89% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( | 11.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.03% ( | 36.97% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.31% ( | 48.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.26% ( | 83.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 2-0 @ 13.12% ( 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 3-0 @ 9.36% ( 3-1 @ 6.73% ( 4-0 @ 5% ( 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.14% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 2-2 @ 3.4% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.13% ( 1-2 @ 3.18% ( 0-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
