

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 28.86% ( | 25.59% ( | 45.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( | 50.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( | 72.45% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.76% ( | 68.24% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( | 22.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.46% ( | 55.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 3-0 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.86% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0-2 @ 8% ( 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
