Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 45.96% ( | 25.58% ( | 28.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% ( | 50.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% ( | 72.63% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( | 22.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.6% ( | 55.4% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( | 32.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.3% ( | 68.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
| 15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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