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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Gil Vicente logo
Chaves
3 - 1
Gil Vicente
Mendes (46', 67'), Arriba (59')
Mendes (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Navarro (25')
Aouacheria (33'), Cunha (45+7')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 0-1 Chaves
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Estoril
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Gil Vicente

This should be a tight affair. The cup defeat could have caused some damage to the confidence of the hosts, but they should still be able to hold on for a point against their struggling visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawGil Vicente
39.55% (-0.31 -0.31) 26.62% (0.093 0.09) 33.83% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.24 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-0.327 -0.33)53.04% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.278 -0.28)74.63% (0.285 0.28)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)26.27% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.428 -0.43)61.38% (0.435 0.44)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)65.7% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 39.55%
    Gil Vicente 33.83%
    Draw 26.61%
ChavesDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.83%

How you voted: Chaves vs Gil Vicente

Chaves
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Gil Vicente
10.0%
30
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon7610156919
2Benfica76011771018
3Braga85122014616
4Porto7511106416
5BoavistaBoavista84311813515
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741299013
7FamalicaoFamalicao733175212
8MoreirenseMoreirense83231110111
9Gil Vicente8305181539
10Casa Pia72327619
11PortimonensePortimonense7223917-88
12SC FarenseFarense8215111107
13ChavesChaves82151221-97
14AroucaArouca7133811-36
15Vizela81341014-46
16Estrela Amadora7124712-55
17Rio AveRio Ave8125614-85
18Estoril PraiaEstoril71151418-44

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