

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Estoril Praia | 
| 33.11% (  -0.75) | 27.63% (  -0.37) | 39.26% (  1.12) | 
| Both teams to score 48.59% (  0.98) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.88% (  1.28) | 57.12% (  -1.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.01% (  1.01) | 77.99% (  -1.01) | 
| Maritimo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.82% (  0.15) | 32.18% (  -0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.33% (  0.17) | 68.67% (  -0.17) | 
| Estoril Praia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.65% (  1.28) | 28.35% (  -1.28) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.91% (  1.58) | 64.09% (  -1.58) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Maritimo | Draw | Estoril Praia | 
| 1-0 @ 10.34% (  -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.39% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.86% (  -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.79% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.22% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.76% (  0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.1% | 1-1 @ 13.03% (  -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.12% (  -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.66% (  0.14) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 11.5% (  -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.22% (  0.22) 0-2 @ 7.25% (  0.16) 1-3 @ 3.45% (  0.21) 0-3 @ 3.05% (  0.17) 2-3 @ 1.96% (  0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% (  0.1) 0-4 @ 0.96% (  0.09) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.26% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 | 
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 | 
| 3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 | 
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 | 
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 | 
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 | 
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 | 
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 | 
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 | 
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