

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 33.92% ( | 26.88% ( | 39.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( | 54.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( | 75.52% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( | 30.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.73% ( | 66.26% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( | 26.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.7% ( | 62.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
