

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 | 
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 | 
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 | 
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 
| 38.08% | 27.45% | 34.47% | 
| Both teams to score 49.39% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.77% | 56.23% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.72% | 77.28% | 
| Maritimo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.4% | 28.61% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.59% | 64.41% | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.17% | 30.83% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.9% | 67.11% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.08% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.47% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 | 
| 2 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 | 
| 3 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 | 
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 | 
| 9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 | 
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 | 
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 | 
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