

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Getafe |
| 51.32% ( | 26.23% ( | 22.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.53% ( | 57.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.73% ( | 78.27% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( | 22.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.94% ( | 56.06% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.9% ( | 41.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.35% ( | 77.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% ( 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.3% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.07% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 33 | 36 | 75 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 67 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 61 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
| 9 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 44 |
| 11 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 44 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 38 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 32 |
| 19 | Leganes | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 31 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 83 | -58 | 16 |
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