Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 97.49%. A draw had a probability of 2.2% and a win for Thionville Lusitanos had a probability of 0.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-4 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.04%) and 0-5 (13.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.14%), while for a Thionville Lusitanos win it was 1-0 (0.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.