Real Madrid

5 - 1

Salzburg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.