Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.