Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.