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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Bologna logo
Spezia
2 - 2
Bologna
Bastoni (45+2'), Schouten (54' og.)
Holm (38'), Bastoni (56'), Sala (90+1'), Nikolaou (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arnautovic (7', 64')
Zirkzee (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Spezia
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Salernitana
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Bologna

Having produced just six goals between them so far, a high-scoring classic is unlikely to entertain the locals of La Spezia this weekend. Still over-reliant on Arnautovic, Bologna may once again fail to take maximum points, and their hosts should secure at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawBologna
43.29% (0.302 0.3) 26.86% (-0.262 -0.26) 29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.73% (0.761 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (0.98399999999999 0.98)55.13% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (0.805 0.81)76.38% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.59999999999999 0.6)25.25% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.82 0.82)60% (-0.819 -0.82)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.488 0.49)33.47% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.532 0.53)70.1% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.29%
    Bologna 29.85%
    Draw 26.86%
SpeziaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Spezia vs Bologna

Spezia
32.8%
Draw
39.3%
Bologna
27.9%
61
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 8pm
Bologna
2-1
Spezia
Arnautovic (40', 84')
Binks (19')
Manaj (11')
Manaj (22')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Bologna

Reca (38'), Salcedo (71'), N'Zola (82')
Arnautovic (83' pen.)
Arnautovic (88')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Bologna
4-1
Spezia
Orsolini (12' pen.), Barrow (18'), Svanberg (54', 60')
Soumaoro (39')
Ismajli (34')
Bastoni (36')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Bologna
N'Zola (19', 63')
Marchizza (16'), Gyasi (37'), Agoume (49'), Chabot (85'), Provedel (90+1'), Erlic (90+3')
Dominguez (72'), Barrow (90+2')
Tomiyasu (25')
Nov 25, 2020 4.30pm
Bologna
2-4
Spezia
Barrow (13'), Orsolini (45+1')
Dominguez (44'), Medel (50'), Soriano (104'), Sansone (116')
Piccoli (5'), Farias (64'), Maggiore (100', 119')
Marchizza (27'), Agudelo (58'), Chabot (62'), Deiola (78'), Krapikas (89'), Mattiello (114'), Maggiore (114')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Fiorentina371411125042853
9Torino371411124240253
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
18SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

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