Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between VVV-Venlo and SBV Excelsior.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 2-3 VVV-Venlo
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Den Bosch | 37 | -19 | 46 |
11 | VVV-Venlo | 37 | -15 | 45 |
12 | Jong PSV | 37 | -2 | 43 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
31.48% | 22.36% | 46.15% |
Both teams to score 65.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.67% | 34.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.76% | 56.23% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% | 22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.69% | 55.31% |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% | 15.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.7% | 44.3% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo 31.48%
SBV Excelsior 46.15%
Draw 22.36%
VVV-Venlo | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 7.28% 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.41% Total : 31.48% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.4% 3-3 @ 2.14% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-1 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.72% 3-4 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.15% |
How you voted: VVV-Venlo vs SBV Excelsior
VVV-Venlo
40.0%Draw
20.0%SBV Excelsior
40.0%5
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
SBV Excelsior
3-0
VVV-Venlo
Post (44'), Koglin (80')
Mar 9, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 29, 2018 7.45pm
SBV Excelsior
1-0
VVV-Venlo
Susic (33'), Janssen (59')
Mar 10, 2018 6.45pm
Form Guide