Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.