Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NAC Breda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Jong Ajax | 37 | 19 | 62 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 37 | 15 | 58 |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 37 | 9 | 55 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 55.72% | 21.03% | 23.25% |
| Both teams to score 63.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
