| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Maidstone United | 8 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Dorking Wanderers | 8 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Southend United | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Wrexham | 8 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Notts County | 8 | 14 | 18 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 8 | 13 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Notts County |
| 16.88% ( | 18.44% ( | 64.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.32% ( | 31.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.81% ( | 53.19% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( | 31.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.75% ( | 68.25% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( | 9.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.65% ( | 31.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 1-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 2-0 @ 1.94% ( 3-1 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 16.88% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.44% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 1-3 @ 7.57% ( 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0-3 @ 6.61% ( 1-4 @ 4.5% ( 2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0-4 @ 3.93% ( 2-4 @ 2.58% ( 1-5 @ 2.14% ( 0-5 @ 1.87% ( 2-5 @ 1.23% ( 3-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 4.03% Total : 64.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 37 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 34 | 61 | 91 |
| 2 | Notts County | 37 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 93 | 34 | 59 | 87 |
| 3 | Woking | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 68 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 60 |
| 6 | Barnet | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 59 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 58 |
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 48 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 44 |
| 15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 43 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
| 17 | York City | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 39 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 37 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 30 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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