

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 60.44% | 21.05% | 18.51% |
| Both teams to score 55.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% | 41.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.23% | 63.77% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% | 13.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.93% | 40.07% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% | 35.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.27% | 72.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.64% 3-1 @ 6.7% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.38% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.31% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Vitesse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Almere CityAlmere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
