Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newtown AFC in this match.
